In an interview with CNBC-TV18, Jatinder Sharma, Partner, Equity Strategists says, after trading between 5,450-5,460 and 5,600 for past nine sessions, the market has given very valid technical breakdown. “SBI results may have tilted balance firmly in favour of the bearish outcome,” he adds.
He believes that now the levels to look forward would be around 5,330-5,335. “SBI, Reliance and Tata Steel could be the leaders in this particular fall and they might lead it towards 5,330-5,335 kind of levels,” he adds.
Also read: See Nifty in range of 5450-5600 for few days, says Deven Choksey
Below is verbatim transcript of his interview with Reema Tendulkar and Gautam Broker Also watch the accompanying video.
Q: The Nifty has broken that 5,450 mark? Now, what is the kind of downside which is opened up on any kind of trade?
A: I think after trading between 5,450-5,460 and 5,600 on the upside for past nine sessions, the market has given very valid technical breakdown. SBI results may have tilted balance firmly in favour of the bearish outcome. So, I believe that now the levels to look forward would be around 5,330-5,335 levels with some support coming in between around 5,375-5,380 levels.
Q: If we go all the way down to the 5,350 mark, what is primarily going to be leading us downside over there? Any kind of strategy that you have on key banking names or even the banking index now?
A: Along with SBI today, two more heavyweights have seen technical breakdown, Tata Steel as well as Reliance Industries. Reliance Industries was finding support around Rs 935-940 levels. It was expected that it will bounce back again to about Rs 979-980 kind of levels, but it has broken support. Now, it could be headed towards Rs 880-885 levels.
Similarly Tata Steel, it has given a valid breakdown again on daily charts as well as weekly charts. It could shed some more weight in the coming days. So, SBI, Reliance and Tata Steel could be the leaders in this particular fall and they might lead it towards 5,330-5,335 kind of levels.
Q: Technically, what about State Bank of India? What are the charts telling you as key support levels for State Bank of India?
A: State Bank of India was precariously placed around Rs 2,600 levels before the results. It has given a breakdown now. The levels to look forward to in the short run would be around Rs 2,375-2,380 where strong weekly support is seen. So, there could be technical rebound from around those levels.
Q: Do you think there could be any kind of an opportunity in the financial space, any other smaller banks that you like?
A: In the morning, Bank of India was looking good because it was finding support around Rs 390-385 levels. It has found support around these levels for past so many months now. So, a technical rebound could have been expected. Even now, I believe that that stock could be bought at current levels with small risk trade because Rs 385 is the stop loss level for Bank of India and it could go to all the way up to around Rs 435-440 or maybe if the market support, it could even head higher.
Among the largecaps, I believe HDFC Bank is still showing some resilience around Rs 2,240-2,245 levels. So, maybe on semblance of some support around these levels, one could go long in HDFC Bank.
Q: What would you recommend buying in terms of the sectors in the defensive side, pharma, FMCG and maybe IT?
A: FMCG and pharma are looking much better than even IT. In IT, the whole chart pattern is not looking good because of Infosys. Infosys is trading just around its strong support levels, weekly support levels about Rs 2,835-2,850 levels. But it is not showing any inclination to move higher.
TCS might trade in a range. But it is not looking good to give you some decent returns even in the short run. So, we are left only with the FMCG as well as pharma.
In FMCG, Hindustan Unilever looks to be a better chart right now, in fact better than ITC because it has held on to most of its gain for past three-four sessions and absorbed all the profit taking above Rs 305-306 levels. So, it could head towards Rs 320-325 levels over next five-seven trading sessions.
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