Sensex regains 18,000 level after 9-days as crude falls

The BSE benchmark Sensex added over 313 points to regain the 18,000-level after nine-days during intra-day trade today on heavy buying in blue-chips after a steep fall in crude prices and easing concerns on fuel prices hike.

The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark index climbed 313.14 points to 18,037.63 at 1145 hrs, with most oil company stocks rising.

The National Stock Exchange's broader Nifty index rose by 92 points to 5,414.

The trading sentiment improved after Oil Minister S Jaipal Reddy said his ministry has made no specific proposal on increasing auto and cooking fuel prices for consideration by the EGoM on fuel prices later today, easing concerns of more monetary tightening to curb inflation.

Crude oil prices dropped by 4.6 per cent to USD 91.02 a barrel in New York yesterday.

The largest state-owned oil explorer, Oil and Natural Gas Corp, surged by 3.18 per cent, the most in a month, to Rs 272.90, while Gas Authority of India gained 2.20 per cent to Rs 446.50.

Tiger Global invests US$6 million in CaratLane

Tiger Global has invested $6 million in online jewellery portal , CaratLane, in its second e-commerce investment this month. Earlier this month, the global PE major had invested $20 million in books-to electronics e-retail venture, Flipkart. CaratLane, which supplies to 50 cities, will use the funding to expand its national footprint.

"We want to strengthen our back end and invest in marketing and brand building," said the company's CEO Mithun Sacheti, who founded the venture in 2008 with Srinivasa Gopalan, founder-CEO of Lister Technologies. Tiger Global is betting big on Indian e-commerce.

The investment in CaratLane is its sixth this year. In May, the fund had led a $16 million investment round in online private sales retailer, Exclusively. in.

In April, Tiger Global, along with IDG Ventures and Indo-US Venture Partners, invested $14 million in e-retailer Myntra. They also invested in online electronics retailer Lets-Buy and in online babycare products retailer BabyOye.com .

E-commerce in India has been booming, with the market expected to rise 47% to Rs 46,000 crore this year, according to a report by the Internet and Mobile Association of India (IAMAI). However, e-retail constitutes just 8% of e-commerce, with personal items like jewellery, apparels, cosmetics, shoes and watches contributing 19% to e-retail.

While online retail has been popularly considered as driven by deals and low prices, CaratLane claims the average ticket size on their site is Rs 80,000.

But the company also claims its prices are upto 25% lower than retail store prices. Sacheti, a trained gemologist, said that in any nascent e-commerce market, low prices are the first step to attract customers. His family owns Jaipur Gems and Sacheti and he was able to leverage the connections and expertise in the area of gems and jewellery to build up CaratLane.

"We are able to keep prices low as we hold minimum stocks and are able to turn around pieces in 48 hours," said Sacheti. While the company manufactures and retails jewellery, it acts as an aggregator for solitaires. "We source solitaires from all over the world and are able to guarantee the lowest prices," he said. The company, which clocked revenue of Rs 50 crore in FY 2010-11, expects to expand to 100 cities by end of the year.

Sensex Index Swings Between Gains and Losses on Monsoon Forecast, Greece

India’s benchmark stock index was little changed after swinging between gains and losses. A forecast of a below normal monsoon outweighed optimism that Greece may avoid a default on its debt.

Hindustan Unilever Ltd. (HUVR), India’s biggest home-products maker, dropped the most in five months. Monsoon rain in India will be below normal for the second time in three years, the weather office said yesterday, potentially lowering farm output and stoking inflation which is the highest among Asia’s major economies. Infosys Ltd., a software exporter that earns 22 percent of its revenue from Europe, rose the most in two weeks. Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou secured a parliamentary confidence vote, sparking a rally in global equities.

The Bombay Stock Exchange Sensitive Index, or Sensex, was little changed at 17,550.63 at the 3:30 p.m. close in Mumbai. The S&P CNX Nifty Index on the National Stock Exchange climbed less than 0.1 percent to 5,278.30 and its June futures settled at 5,283. The BSE 200 Index fell 0.2 percent to 2,178.43.

“A weak monsoon will lead to a further spike in inflation, which is being driven by rising commodity and crude oil prices,” said Gaurang Shah, assistant vice president at Geojit BNP Paribas Financial Services Ltd. (GBNP)

Hindustan Unilever lost 3.6 percent to 310.75 rupees, its biggest slide since Jan. 27.

Rainfall will be 95 percent of the 50-year average in the June-September season, the weather office said yesterday after the markets closed. That compares with 98 percent predicted by the state-owned forecaster in April. A variation of 4 percent from the long-term average is deemed normal by the agency.

Record Harvests

Prime Minister Manmohan Singh is relying on adequate rain to harvest record quantities of food grain and oilseeds for a second year and cool inflation, which has led the central bank to raise rates 10 times since mid-March 2010. Farming makes up almost 14 percent of the economy and a reduced farm output can also lower rural incomes, hurting sales of tractors and cars.

Infosys increased 1 percent to 2,755.05 rupees and its June futures settled at 2,760 rupees.

The MSCI Asia Pacific Index rose 0.8 percent. A total of 155 lawmakers supported the motion in the 300-seat parliament in Athens, bolstering Papandreou’s chances of pushing through austerity measures to secure international financial aid for Greece. The International Monetary Fund, contributor of a third of the bailout money for the nation, has warned EU leaders that a failure to take decisive action on the debt crisis risks triggering “large global spillovers.”

“Markets may see a dead-cat bounce on good news from Greece but it will not sustain in the long term,” Geojit BNP’s Shah said.

‘Gloomy Horizon’

The Sensex has declined 14 percent in 2011, the worst performer in Asia. The stocks on the gauge are valued at 14.2 times estimated earnings, compared with 10.8 for the MSCI Emerging Markets Index.

“The horizon is still gloomy,” said Deepak Chatterjee, managing director of SBI Funds Management Pvt., which manages $9.3 billion in assets. “Inflation doesn’t seem to be tamed and we’re not at the end of the rate-increase regime. The government has to try to fix the structural problems. It is a question of sentiment rather than fundamentals.”

The central bank raised the repurchase rate to 7.5 percent from 7.25 percent on June 16, extending the longest streak of tightening in a decade, joining its peers from China to South Korea in stepping up the fight against surging living costs.

Rising borrowing costs have begun to crimp demand and hurt corporate earnings. India’s $1.4 trillion economy expanded 7.8 percent in the three months through March 31, the slowest pace in five quarters. Some 33 percent of companies in the Sensex reported profits that missed analysts’ estimates in the March quarter, compared with less than a quarter last year.

Overseas investors sold a net 5.51 billion rupees ($122.7 million) of Indian stocks on June 21, taking their total withdrawals from equities this year to 21.5 billion rupees, according to data fromthe Securities and Exchange Board of India.

To contact the reporter on this story: Santanu Chakraborty in Mumbai atschakrabor11@bloomberg.net

To contact the editors responsible for this story: Darren Boey at dboey@bloomberg.net

Nifty moves higher; oil & gas, banks, auto gain

Indian markets bounced back after a sharp fall in the last session on concerns of renewal of tax treaty between India and Mauritius. Oil&gas and rate sensitives like banks and auto stocks led the pull-back while realty, power and capital goods stocks were down on profit booking.

"After Monday's Mauritius blues, a recovery appears in sight. A review of the tax treaty with Mauritius appears to be on the cards though no timeline has been fixed for negotiations.

Even if talks were to start, their duration and outcome is uncertain. What is also heartening to note is that there was no major sell-off from FIIs (net sales Rs 5 billion). The domestic funds pumped in over Rs 8.6 billion.

So, the start will be positive and a bounce back is a given. Global cues are also supportive. Stock indices in the US and Europe closed higher amid hope of a resolution to the Greek's debt woes. Most Asian markets are up this morning.

The euro has recovered while the dollar index is down slightly. Nymex crude is hovering around $93 a barrel while the Brent is around US$112.

The Nifty could find resistance around 5300. It is likely to find support around 5200. Overall, the market could remain jittery in the short term. One must stick to a 'wait-and-see' approach and be vigilant given the high degree of volatility," said IIFL report.

At 10:20 am; National Stock Exchange's Nifty was at 5283.65, up 25.75 points or 0.49 per cent. The broader index touched a high of 5297.25 and low of 5257 in trade so far.

Bombay Stock Exchange's Sensex was at 17595.65, up 89.02 points or 0.51 per cent. The 30-share index hit a high of 17642.77 and low of 17504.27 intraday.

BSE Midcap Index was up 0.22 per cent and BSE Smallcap Index moved 0.23 per cent higher.

Amongst sectoral indices, BSE Oil&gas Index was up 0.69 per cent, BSE Bankex gained 0.56 per cent and BSE Auto Index moved 0.53 per cent higher.

BSE Realty Index was down 0.94 per cent, BSE Power Index slipped 0.22 per cent and BSE Capital Goods Index declined 0.13 per cent.

Sun Pharma (1.84%), Bharti Airtel (1.67%), Reliance Industries (1.59%), Tata Motors (1.57%) and TCS (1.52%) were the major Nifty gainers.

HCL Tech (-2.39%), Jaiprakash Associates (-1.52%), ONGC (-1.37%), BHEL (-1.32%) and DLF (-1.12%) were the major Nifty losers.

Market breadth was positive on the NSE with 1068 gainers against 976 losers.

Meanwhile, the Asian markets were moved higher. Nikkei 225 was up 0.43 per cent, Strait Times moved 0.63 per cent higher and Hang Seng edged 0.32 per cent higher.

ONGC plans to invest $7.7 bn in India gas block: Report

Indian state explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corp plans to invest USD 7.7 billion to develop a gas field in an east coast block and produce up to 30 million cubic meters a day in five years, the Economic Times reported on Tuesday.

The company plans to drill eight additional wells in the block to maximize output from the deep-sea field and has sought approval for the plan from the Directorate General of Hydrocarbons and the petroleum ministry, the newspaper said citing an emailed response from ONGC.

ONGC could not immediately be reached for comment.

Last week, the Business Standard newspaper had reported that ONGC was in talks with the Indian unit of BG Group and Italian oil major ENI to sell up to a 30% stake in an east coast block.

In February, BP agreed to buy a 30% stake in 23 oil and gas blocks owned by Reliance Industries, India's most valuable listed conglomerate, for USD 7.2 billion.